Summer Reflections - Hitting Back

  • Bull and Bear are back in the headmaster’s study, trying to justify why their start-of-the-year total return projections for property are proving to be so wide of the mark. Diverting the blame onto DT does not go down well.

  • Because of the sector’s on-going underperformance, the headmaster is contemplating cutting real estate out of his next strategic investment plan.

  • Our protagonists are flabbergasted at even the thought of property being relegated out of the top division and put up a rigorous retaliation. Even so, they acknowledge the consensus view that the hike in 10-year gilt yields and higher borrowing costs will drive the year-end return for 2026 to 5%, or even lower before recovering next year.

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